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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10,3x - 11,4x | 10,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 3,7x - 4,1x | 3,9x |
Fair Value | ₫22.695 - ₫23.953 | ₫23.324 |
Upside | 3,2% - 8,9% | 6,0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Nghe Tinh Port Joint Stock Company | NAP | HNX:NAP |
Doan Xa Port Joint Stock Company | DXP | HNX:DXP |
Cam Ranh International Airport Services Joint-Stock Company | CIA | HNX:CIA |
Danang Airports Services Joint-Stock Company | MAS | HNX:MAS |
Cam Ranh Port Joint Stock Company | CCR | HNX:CCR |
Vietnam Maritime Development Joint Stock Company | VMS | HNX:VMS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
NAP | DXP | CIA | MAS | CCR | VMS | ||
HNX:NAP | HNX:DXP | HNX:CIA | HNX:MAS | HNX:CCR | HNX:VMS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 22.0% | 26.3% | NM- | -17.8% | -10.5% | 10.6% | |
3Y CAGR | 10.7% | 45.2% | NM- | NM- | -28.6% | 2.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -31.0% | 57.2% | 143.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | -11.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.1% | 20.6% | -35.8% | -0.2% | 16.6% | 3.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 11.8% | -8.4% | 3.2% | 13.0% | 5.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 8.5% | -1.5% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 3.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.26x | 0.32x | 0.35x | 0.71x | 1.53x | 0.44x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 3.3x | 8.3x | 9.5x | 6.5x | 6.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 14.7x | 3.5x | 12.3x | 19.0x | 13.3x | 11.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 3.5x | 13.3x | 19.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -4.1x | 10.3x | 24.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.3x | 10.9x | 11.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 9,046 | 9,046 | 9,046 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 93,356 | 98,270 | 103,183 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 96,683 | 96,683 | 96,683 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 190,039 | 194,953 | 199,866 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 21,115.46 | 21,661.41 | 22,207.35 | ||||
FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21,115.46 | 21,661.41 | 22,207.35 | 22,000.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -4.0% | -1.5% | 0.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NAP | DXP | CIA | MAS | CCR | VMS | |
Enterprise Value | 254,940 | (201,967) | (399) | 139,864 | 285,783 | 101,317 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,038 | 447,633 | 149,239 | 8,651 | 36,574 | 84,969 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4,860 | 444,721 | 47,103 | 0 | 1,170 | 11,714 | |
(-) Debt | (29,846) | (25,384) | 0 | (3,413) | (8,582) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (4,385) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 240,993 | 665,002 | 195,943 | 145,101 | 310,561 | 198,000 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 21.5 | 59.9 | 18.7 | 4.3 | 24.5 | 9.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 11,200.00 | 11,100.00 | 10,500.00 | 34,000.00 | 12,700.00 | 22,000.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11,200.00 | 11,100.00 | 10,500.00 | 34,000.00 | 12,700.00 | 22,000.00 | |
Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |