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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 24,1x - 26,6x | 25,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 32,3x - 35,7x | 34,0x |
| Fair Value | ₫3.846 - ₫8.645 | ₫6.246 |
| Upside | -67,5% - -27,0% | -47,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk | WIKA | IDX:WIKA |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| Vietnam Construction and Import-Export Joint Stock Corporation | VCG | HOSE:VCG |
| Hai An Transport And Stevedoring Joint Stock Company | HAH | HOSE:HAH |
| Deo Ca Traffic Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | HHV | HOSE:HHV |
| Ho Chi Minh City Infrastructure Investment Joint Stock Company | CII | HOSE:CII |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| WIKA | CMNP | VCG | HAH | HHV | CII | ||
| IDX:WIKA | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:VCG | HOSE:HAH | HOSE:HHV | HOSE:CII | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 47.3% | 52.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 33.9% | 20.2% | 33.0% | 18.8% | NM- | 57.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 164.7% | 0.4% | 32.2% | 117.5% | 24.5% | 70.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.4% | 28.6% | 6.0% | 24.9% | 47.6% | 14.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -13.6% | 22.4% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 38.0% | 19.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.3% | 41.8% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 38.4% | 34.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | 41.8% | 12.0% | 26.5% | 38.4% | 34.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.46x | 4.36x | 1.57x | 2.35x | 7.64x | 9.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.0x | 9.2x | 10.6x | 6.2x | 15.6x | 14.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 10.4x | 13.1x | 8.9x | 19.9x | 28.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 13.1x | 19.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 27.4x | 29.7x | 112.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 24.1x | 25.4x | 26.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,037,209 | 1,037,209 | 1,037,209 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 24,985,377 | 26,300,397 | 27,615,417 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (22,877,983) | (22,877,983) | (22,877,983) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,107,394 | 3,422,414 | 4,737,434 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 548.0 | 548.0 | 548.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,845.77 | 6,245.55 | 8,645.32 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3,845.77 | 6,245.55 | 8,645.32 | 11,850.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -67.5% | -47.3% | -27.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WIKA | CMNP | VCG | HAH | HHV | CII | |
| Enterprise Value | 28,181,991 | 17,903,464 | 20,151,989 | 9,379,768 | 5,122,228 | 29,371,505 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,361,003 | 132,901 | 4,295,784 | 992,390 | 0 | 2,368,657 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 15,131,817 | 550,603 | 675,373 | 173,753 | 0 | 1,023,929 | |
| (-) Debt | (35,538,190) | (6,641,194) | (8,758,976) | (2,330,258) | 0 | (23,173,638) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3,002,739) | (1,470,459) | (2,955,677) | (694,766) | 0 | (3,096,931) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 8,133,881 | 10,475,316 | 13,408,493 | 7,520,887 | 5,122,228 | 6,493,523 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 39,872.0 | 6,020.3 | 598.6 | 129.9 | 432.3 | 548.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 204.00 | 1,740.00 | 22,400.00 | 57,900.00 | 11,850.00 | 11,850.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 204.00 | 1,740.00 | 22,400.00 | 57,900.00 | 11,850.00 | 11,850.00 | |
| Trading Currency | IDR | IDR | VND | VND | VND | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |